March 25th: LPL, LCK Re-opening day

March 24th Recap:

LPL: 7 - 7 (+0.981 units)


TOTAL: 7 - 7 (+0.981 units)

Ran out of time today, had to record half the show and get some writing done so I'll recap in this post later tonight. Apologies for the lack of writeups but here's the picks. Sheet will be updated later.

The LCK DOES NOT RELEASE LINEUPS! They are actively against gambling. The casters will not release lineups ahead of time. I get asked the question a million times a year. It just is what it is. Understand this when building DFS lineups.

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(all lines are from Nitrogen unless stated otherwise)

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LCK (Korea)

Week 6 - Day 1

Griffin +593 (+1.5 @ +172)

vs

Gen.G -1400 (-1.5 @ -260)

Map 2 ONLY

Kill Spread: Map 2 Gen.G -7.5 @ -119 (0.119 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 Gen.G -8.5 @ +101 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 Gen.G -9.5 @ +126 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 Gen.G -10.5 @ +157 (0.1 units)

Kill spread: Map 2 Gen.G -11.5 @ +192 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 Gen.G -12.5 @ +243 (0.1 units)

(all at 5Dimes)

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KT Rolster +123 (+1.5 @ -234)
vs
DAMWON -181 (-1.5 @ +160)

Spread: KT Rolster +1.5 maps @ -233 (1.165 units)
Moneyline: KT Rolster +133 (0.25 units)
Kill Spread: Map 1 KT Rolster -1.5 @ +130 (0.25 units)
(all at 5Dimes)

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DragonX -369 (-1.5 @ -113)

vs

Hanwha Life +246 (+1.5 @ -128)

Spread: DragonX -1.5 maps @ -112 (1.12 units)

Kill Spread: Map 1 DRX -7.5 @ +119 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 1 DRX -8.5 @ +144 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 DRX -7.5 @ +115 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 DRX -8.5 @ +134 (0.1 units)

(all at 5Dimes)

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LPL (China)

CURRENTLY I DO NOT HAVE LINEUPS. Check on these closer to match time. Since I won't be here most of the night, I'm going to writeup and wager under the assumption it's the typical starting lineups we've seen. Adjust accordingly!!

Week 4 - Day 3

OMG -1136 (-1.5 @ -207)
vs
Victory Five +543 (+1.5 @ +147)

Lineups:
OMG: 
V5: 

I wrote up on this one yesterday because I totally forgot it was a Tuesday. Same thoughts.

... You know where this is going. 

While OMG haven't been absolutely destroying people they're winning fairly soundly. Victory Five are a lot sloppier than even the other bottom of the table teams. They'll actually keep fighting into you. They have a 13.1 average margin of defeat. They've lost by at least 11 kills in all but three games (8, 2, and 7) with peaks as high as 23, 21, and 17.

Spread: OMG -1.5 maps @ -185 (1.85 units)

Kill Spread: Map 1 OMG -6.5 kills @ -167 (0.835 units)
Kill Spread: Map 1 OMG -9.5 kills @ +104 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: Map 1 OMG -10.5 kills @ +125 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: Map 1 OMG -11.5 kills @ +150 (0.1 units)

Kill Spread: Map 2 OMG -6.5 kills @ -149 (0.745 units)
Kill Spread: Map 2 OMG -9.5 kills @ +113 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: Map 2 OMG -10.5 kills @ +135 (0.1 units)
(all at 5Dimes)

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JD Gaming -287 (-1.5 @ +118)
vs
TOP eSports +197 (+1.5 @ -167)

Lineups:
JDG: 
TOP: 

Moneyline: JDG -217 (2.17 units)
Spread: JDG -1.5 maps @ +152 (0.25 units)
(all at 5Dimes)

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FunPlus Phoenix -1408 (-1.5 @ -260)
vs
BiliBili Gaming +593 (+1.5 @ +172)

Lineups:
FPX: 
BLG: 

Map 1
Kill Spread: FPX -6.5 kills @ -192 (0.192 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -7.5 kills @ -159 (0.159 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -8.5 kills @ -137 (0.137 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -9.5 kills @ -116 (0.116 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -10.5 kills @ +103 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -11.5 kills @ +135 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -12.5 kills @ +159 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -13.5 kills @ +188 (0.1 units)

Map 2
Kill Spread: FPX -6.5 kills @ -172 (0.172 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -7.5 kills @ -141 (0.141 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -8.5 kills @ -118 (0.118 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -9.5 kills @ +100 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -10.5 kills @ +115 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -11.5 kills @ +135 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -12.5 kills @ +159 (0.1 units)
Kill Spread: FPX -13.5 kills @ +188 (0.1 units)

FPX have an average margin of victory of 12.25 kills. 
They've won by 11 or more in all but 3 of their 12 wins (10, 8, and 6).

BiliBili have an average margin of defeat of 10.45 kills. 
They've lost by double digits in 7 out of 12 losses. 
They've lost by 8 or more in 10 out of 12 losses.

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Other Leagues

none yet

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Parlays:

Parlay (2): Map 1 FPX -7.5 kills + Map 1 DRX -5.5 kills @ +193 (0.25 units)

Parlay (2): Map 1 FPX -9.5 kills + Map 1 DRX -6.5 kills @ +266 (0.25 units)