LCK Summer 2019 - Week 10 Day 2
There isn't really a lot to think about for this one. Griffin have already locked playoffs but haven't locked the #1 seed. I expect them to smash Jin Air here. If you want to look at the over/unders I'd lean UNDER 32:00 but Griffin tend to take their time.
No wager
Hanwha Life are playing their best League of Legends of the entire year which, contrary to what you'd think, is not actually the common amongst bad teams. Hanwha straight up dominated SK Telecom in convincing fashion and before that took advantage of some poor play by DAMWON to defeat them as well. So why am I so confident in Afreeca here? This is a combination of market value and my personal expectations. Afreeca are a way WAY better team than Hanwha but people tend to remember recent and memorable performances a bit too much. Hanwha are being overvalued here even considering their improved performance and we're going to take aim and fire at that.
Afreeca are playing their last series of the year and are in must win mode to earn one of the two playoff spots that are remaining up for grabs. Gen.G have to face the formidable DAMWON, SKT gets Sandbox, and Afreeca get Hanwha Life. I absolutely love Afreeca to sweep this. I know motivation tends to get overrated but I think Afreeca are going to be incentivized to sweep this series and really, at the end of the day, they should. I think people will be scared off of this bet due to Hanwha Life's recent performances. To me a bad team is going to have a lot of trouble maintaining that kind of level for more than a couple of series and there is some degree of other teams figuring out how Hanwha is going to approach facing stronger teams. Afreeca have looked good and I expect them to smash this series tomorrow.
Spread: Afreeca -1.5 maps @ +108 (4 units)
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LCK Summer 2019 - Week 11 Day 4
I'm half tempted to take Dominus at this number but FunPlus look unstoppable. There is a narrative driven approach to this series which is that FunPlus have now officially locked a bye into the semifinals so they literally have nothing to play for except for pride. That's the thing though, this team has a ton of pride. I'm going to avoid this one but I could understand a Dominus bet.
No wager (lean Dominus +1.5)
If TOP were a fast team I'd like the under here but this number is just too rich to pay. That said this is pretty close to a surefire thing.
No wager
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LEC Summer 2019 - Week 9 Day 1
The only matches that truly matter for playoff seeding are Fnatic/Splyce battling for the #2 spot and Origen/Rogue because if Roguie can manage to win and then win again on Saturday they'd steal the last playoff spot from Origen even if Origen were to win on Saturday. Instead we're going to look toward over/unders and props here in the final week of the LEC. Europe tends to be a lot more laid back and willing to troll games or make fun selections in general so I'm expecting a high likelihood of clown fiestas. Let's try to pick a few out.
O/U: SK Gaming/Excel OVER 26.5 total kills @ -114 (3 units)
SK Gaming have had 30+ kills+deaths in their their last three games and they were all similarly non-relevant.
O/U: Fnatic/Splyce OVER 26.5 total kills @ -141 (3 units)
Ton of juice on this one but Fnatic are averaging almost 30 kills+deaths per game for the entire season and Splyce have been much more willing to fight. There's an argument against this pick which is that both teams are battling for the #2 seed and could be a little more reserved under the pressure but I think especially in Europe they tend to loosen up and just fire.
I'd also lean toward taking a shot at Schalke moneyline but I'm not sure yet. G2 are going to wanna run back the Garen after Fnatic won with it >.<
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Parlays:
Parlay (2): FNC/Splyce OVER 26.5 + SK Gaming/Excel OVER 26.5 @ +321 (1 unit)
Parlay (3): FNC/Splyce OVER 26.5 + SK Gami/Excel OVER 26.5 + Afreeca -1.5 @ +669 (1 unit)
Parlay (3): FNC/Splyce OVER 26.5 + SK Gami/Excel OVER 26.5 + Afreeca ML @ +440 (1 unit)
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