Didn't have any picks for EU this morning so didn't both with a post on it but here is NA LCS. Tomorrow mornings Eastern slate as well as NA LCS for tomorrow will be up later tonight.
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NA LCS W5D1 - February 23rd:
We talked a lot about the NA LCS slate on the pilot episode of The Ignite Podcast and we unanimously loved 100 Thieves to bounce back this week. This team had a rough week last week. Maybe it was a bad week of practice or people were sick or something but what you saw was not what this team is. OpTic isn't a good team. They've earned first blood in every single one of their games and first tower in half of their games and this team is still 2-6. They don't know what to do with a lead, their drafts have been suspect, and if Crown doesn't carry these games I just can't see how any of the players on OpTic can outperform their 100 Thieves counterparts.
I'm loading up on this one with my best of one maximum wager of three units. This is a slam dunk and 100 Thieves should probably be -200 or better favorites but we get a discounted rate due to their performance last week. There is also the off chance we get to see OpTic play a different lineup in which case I love 100T even more.
Moneyline: 100 Thieves -167 (3 units)
While I've been higher on Echo Fox than a lot of people I do think Team Liquid should stomp this. I don't see any lines I can take in this one that I like and I don't like the dog at all so we'll be passing here.
No wager
The Golden Guardians seem to unanimously be underrated. After a rough start they're starting to piece things together and I think with the meta shifting toward the crit carries I think Deftly could turn an already solid start into a monstrous second half. This bet is half a bet on GG to continue their improvement and half a bet on the fact that Clutch just look lost right now. Damonte has been excellent this season but the bottom lane AND even more so the top side of the map have struggled mightily. I want to believe in Huni turning this disaster of a season around but it's pretty hard to bet on that until we see it.
I love the Guardians here. These are two teams trending in opposite directions but because there are some unknowns I'll be limiting this to just two units.
Moneyline: Golden Guardians -123 (2 units)
Cloud 9 vs FlyQuest is an interesting matchup and one that we'll be value betting. Cloud 9 are almost certainly a better team but we discussed on the podcast that none of us believe that they're this much better than FlyQuest. This is line should be closer to even money maybe -130 for Cloud 9 or -150 but instead it's at a ridiculous -196. We take the value dogs for a unit here. FlyQuest are a good team and have a reasonable chance to win this match.
Moneyline: FlyQuest +151 (1 unit)
I'm higher on TSM than my colleagues but they're still just a mid tier team right now.I'm also lower on CLG than my colleagues. With that in mind I thnk the correct thing to do here is to bet CLG. There's just no way this line should be this far apart. Neither of these teams have shown us any reason why one should be this heavily favored over the other and even projecting them going forward I expect them to be similar. I don't like CLG at all but this line is too off so I'll be putting a half unit wager on them.
Moneyline: CLG +154 (0.5 units)
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