Thursday, June 21, 2018

Betting: June 22nd (LCK / LPL)

LOL Champions Korea 6/22 Schedule:

Griffin (-250, -1.5 @ +126)
@ (O/U: 32:00 minutes, 18.5 total kills)
SK Telecom (+189, +1.5 @ -164)

MVP (-112, -1.5 @ +275)
@ (O/U: 32:00 minutes, 18.5 total kills)
Jin Air (-115, +1.5 @ -400)

Handicapped: SK Telecom +1.5 maps @ -164 (4 units)

Moneyline: SK Telecom +189 (2 units)

Prop: Map 1 UNDER 32:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

Prop: Map 2 UNDER 32:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

Be warned this is definitely a gut call so tail at your own risk. I've already been burned this season by SKT but I have this weird feeling that Faker is going to "welcome" the rookies. SKT haven't looked absolutely horrible despite only having one win and they look better than they did at the beginning of last season when they looked the worst I've ever seen this organization. This is more a bet on a let down game for Griffin and an SKT "must win" early in the season. With side selection I think SKT will at the very least take a game here which will cover our 2 unit wager on the moneyline. We get paid off big if this is, indeed, a let down game.


Moneyline: Jin Air GW -112 (2 units)

Prop: Map 1 UNDER 32:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

Prop: Map 2 UNDER 32:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

MVP have looked competitive but their two wins have been against the horrific BBQ and struggling SKT. Jin Air haven't looked great either but I think they're a slightly better team overall so in a push situation like this I'll place a few units on the team I think is a tad better and "needs" the win more. Jin Air also have the best player in this game in Teddy which is a solid tiebreaker.


LOL Pro League (China) 6/22 Schedule:

Snake eSports (+185, +1.5 @ -182)
@ (O/U: 31:00 minutes, 23.5 total kills)
Rogue Warriors (-244, -1.5 @ +134)

OMG (+130, +1.5 @ -238)
@ (O/U: 31:00 minutes, 22.5 total kills)
Team WE (-167, -1.5 @ +179)

Moneyline: Snake eSports +182 (1 unit) (old)

Handicapped: Rogue Warriors -1.5 @ +134 (2 units)

Prop: Map 1 UNDER 31:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

Prop: Map 2 UNDER 31:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

Rogue Warriors are a better team but I'm not sure they're -244 better than Snake so my initial read was a "why the hell not" unit on Snake basically as a line value bet but I've since shifted to a RW sweep. We don't often see + odds for RW sweeps even against good teams. I'm keeping exposure on this one low because this should be a decent series but I feel like this should be one close game and one blowout but a 2-0 for RW.


Moneyline: Team WE -167 (3 units)

Prop: Map 1 UNDER 31:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

Prop: Map 2 UNDER 31:00 @ -116 (1 unit)

OMG look better than they did last season but they were also awful last season. WE are always slow starters and this season isn't any different. I expect them to get right here and trounce OMG. They just have too many strong players to be a bottom dwelling team in this region. 957, Xiye, and Condi are simply too strong. Are they real elite players? Maybe not anymore but they're all a cut above every single player on OMG.


EU LCS (Europe) 6/22 Schedule:

Giants -154 @ Unicorns of Love +113
Team Vitality -182 @ Team ROCCAT +133
G2 eSports -182 @ FC Schalke 04 +135
Fnatic -200 @ H2K +149
Misfits -152 @ Splyce +114

Currently I have a unit on each UNDER for these games. I'll probably revisit this in the morning or live bet this tomorrow afternoon. Slight leans are G2, ROCCAT, Giants, Splyce, Fnatic.

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