LOL Pro League (China) 8/19 Schedule:
Invictus Gaming (-500, -1.5 @ -139)
@ Total Time ???, Total Kills ???
Vici Gaming (+343, +1.5 @ +103)
Snake eSports (-213, -1.5 @ +145)
@ Total Time ???, Total Kills ???
OMG (+162, +1.5 @ -192)
I've been getting utterly destroyed on handicaps from a win-loss record standpoint but a lot of these bets have been small bets attempting to attack line value when the moneylines have often been borderline unplayable to me.
Handicapped: Invictus -1.5 @ -139 (6 units)
Invictus are starting their owner at ADC this match. I legit think they'll still 2-0 this. I tried to write this under the assumption that he wasn't playing just as an excercise and came up with this
"The only thing I'm "missing" here is that Invictus might not care about this game and Vici could look at it as a way to "go out with a bang." People are gonna hate this pick because "Invictus have been dropping games every series." This is true, they've dropped a game in seven of their last nine series but they also smashed BiliBili and RNG 2-0. They've only dropped one game to the bottom two (Team WE and Vici). Invictus 2-0'd Vici back in week two in under 57 total minutes and I actually expect the same thing here. I played this in a parlay as early as yesterday and the line then was -1.5 @ -179. I'm not going to look a gift horse in the mouth here. I think Invictus destroy this series to end the season on a good note, perhaps might even show a new pick to bait bans for playoffs and plant the seed of doubt. The lineup doesn't matter to me, any iteration should 2-0 this. I have no idea why this line is this low, probably because people are afraid of the trend of Invictus dropping games within series but let's keep in mind they've been playing against teams that are still fighting for playoff spots and the only team quite as bad as Vici that they've faced is Team WE (who admittedly did take a map). I'm not going to look this gift horse in the mouth."
I'm going to roll with this still not just because it's hilarious but because I honestly wouldn't rule out that he paid Vici under the table to let him win (this is China after all). Also who wouldn't want to impress the boss man so he buys you a new car or some bling? LET IT RIDE
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Handicapped: Snake eSports -1.5 @ +145 (3 units)
With their loss to EDG, OMG are eliminated from playoff contention but Snake are still alive. OMG are at least a competitive team and they've even stolen a few game wins from some good teams like Rogue Warriors, Invictus, and Suning but they're ultimately not that great. To me they're a clear cut above the true bottom dwellers of the LPL and they have some good players they just haven't been able to put it all together. Snake have lost five in a row but in those five losses they took games off of RNG and IG. Prior to this loss streak they convincingly 2-0'd Vici and LGD, teams that are a little above and a little below OMG's level.
Snake are in a must win situation and they actually have a good shot at taking the #4 seed away from FunPlus. With two matches left (vs RW and EDG) the best FunPlus can end is 9-10 if they win both. Snake have five matches remaining (vs OMG, RW, TSG, WE, and EDG) meaning the best they can end is 11-8. Is is likely? Not really considering EDG and TSG are going to be battling until the very last match for the #2 seed but if one of them pulls ahead then it could happen, hell TSG could lose out and Snake could even end up as high as the #2 seed if they can take down TSG and EDG.
I know narrative isn't everything and I've been leaning on "must win" situations a lot lately but that's the end of the season and I think this Snake team are much much better than they've shown this season. OMG aren't a good team and Snake, while not as good as people anticipated going into the season, are still a decent team with some gamebreaking players. I'm actually expecting Snake to 2-0 this with a moderate amount of confidence.
---------------------------------------------------------
EU LCS Tiebreakers (Europe) 8/19 Schedule:
(pending)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
NA LCS (North America) 8/19 Schedule:
(pending)
PARLAYS:
Invictus Gaming (-500, -1.5 @ -139)
@ Total Time ???, Total Kills ???
Vici Gaming (+343, +1.5 @ +103)
Snake eSports (-213, -1.5 @ +145)
@ Total Time ???, Total Kills ???
OMG (+162, +1.5 @ -192)
I've been getting utterly destroyed on handicaps from a win-loss record standpoint but a lot of these bets have been small bets attempting to attack line value when the moneylines have often been borderline unplayable to me.
Handicapped: Invictus -1.5 @ -139 (6 units)
Invictus are starting their owner at ADC this match. I legit think they'll still 2-0 this. I tried to write this under the assumption that he wasn't playing just as an excercise and came up with this
"The only thing I'm "missing" here is that Invictus might not care about this game and Vici could look at it as a way to "go out with a bang." People are gonna hate this pick because "Invictus have been dropping games every series." This is true, they've dropped a game in seven of their last nine series but they also smashed BiliBili and RNG 2-0. They've only dropped one game to the bottom two (Team WE and Vici). Invictus 2-0'd Vici back in week two in under 57 total minutes and I actually expect the same thing here. I played this in a parlay as early as yesterday and the line then was -1.5 @ -179. I'm not going to look a gift horse in the mouth here. I think Invictus destroy this series to end the season on a good note, perhaps might even show a new pick to bait bans for playoffs and plant the seed of doubt. The lineup doesn't matter to me, any iteration should 2-0 this. I have no idea why this line is this low, probably because people are afraid of the trend of Invictus dropping games within series but let's keep in mind they've been playing against teams that are still fighting for playoff spots and the only team quite as bad as Vici that they've faced is Team WE (who admittedly did take a map). I'm not going to look this gift horse in the mouth."
I'm going to roll with this still not just because it's hilarious but because I honestly wouldn't rule out that he paid Vici under the table to let him win (this is China after all). Also who wouldn't want to impress the boss man so he buys you a new car or some bling? LET IT RIDE
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Handicapped: Snake eSports -1.5 @ +145 (3 units)
With their loss to EDG, OMG are eliminated from playoff contention but Snake are still alive. OMG are at least a competitive team and they've even stolen a few game wins from some good teams like Rogue Warriors, Invictus, and Suning but they're ultimately not that great. To me they're a clear cut above the true bottom dwellers of the LPL and they have some good players they just haven't been able to put it all together. Snake have lost five in a row but in those five losses they took games off of RNG and IG. Prior to this loss streak they convincingly 2-0'd Vici and LGD, teams that are a little above and a little below OMG's level.
Snake are in a must win situation and they actually have a good shot at taking the #4 seed away from FunPlus. With two matches left (vs RW and EDG) the best FunPlus can end is 9-10 if they win both. Snake have five matches remaining (vs OMG, RW, TSG, WE, and EDG) meaning the best they can end is 11-8. Is is likely? Not really considering EDG and TSG are going to be battling until the very last match for the #2 seed but if one of them pulls ahead then it could happen, hell TSG could lose out and Snake could even end up as high as the #2 seed if they can take down TSG and EDG.
I know narrative isn't everything and I've been leaning on "must win" situations a lot lately but that's the end of the season and I think this Snake team are much much better than they've shown this season. OMG aren't a good team and Snake, while not as good as people anticipated going into the season, are still a decent team with some gamebreaking players. I'm actually expecting Snake to 2-0 this with a moderate amount of confidence.
---------------------------------------------------------
EU LCS Tiebreakers (Europe) 8/19 Schedule:
(pending)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
NA LCS (North America) 8/19 Schedule:
(pending)
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PARLAYS:
Parlay (2): Invictus -1.5 @ -179 + Snake -213, Total Odds: +129 (1 unit)
Parlay (2): Invictus -1.5 @ -139 + Snake -1.5 @ +145, Total Odds: +321 (1 unit)
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