Monday, July 30, 2018

Betting: July 30th (LPL)

LOL Pro League (China) 7/30 Schedule:

BiliBili Gaming (-175, -1.5 @ +165)
@ Over/Under 34:00, Total Kills 23.5
FunPlus Phoenix (+136, +1.5 @ -222)

Rogue Warriors (-833, -1.5 @ -185)
@ Over/Under 32:00, Total Kills 23.5

Vici Gaming (+486, +1.5 @ +140)

PROP: Exact BiliBili 2-1 @ +237 (1 unit)

I don't particularly think either of these teams is good and this line is a big enough spread that the right place might actually be the FPP moneyline but I think BiliBili took a game off of Rogue Warriors last Wednesday and beat EDG before that. Similarly, FunPlus have had a few "spike" performances as well. The question here is who are these teams really. I think FunPlus have shown their best performances and they were outliers. BiliBili I think has the potential to at least be a stable, mid tier team. Last season they were arguably the top of the mid tier of LPL teams. So they got smashed by OMG but were competitive with Rogue Warriors in a game and beat EDG straight up as their last three. I'm willing to bet on the BiliBili ceiling being slightly higher, especially if Athena starts more than a game. These are, however, two similar teams that are both inconsistent I just think FunPlus are trending down and BiliBili SHOULD be trending up at least a little. Like I said though, smart money might actually be on FunPlus just for line value if you consider these two teams even and both inconsistent. FunPlus also play relatively well early one which is how you beat BiliBili since they do a poor job absorbing pressure.


Handicapped: RogueWarriors -1.5 maps @-185 (10 units)

PROP: Map 1 UNDER 32:00 @ -114 (1 unit)

PROP: Map 2 UNDER 32:00 @ -114 (1 unit)

This isn't just a first vs last. Rogue Warriors utterly smash low tier competition. Outside of a single game loss to BiliBili, who I'd consider top of the low tier until proven otherwise, RW have dismantled every single team in the bottom six in convincing fashion. Vici are more than likely the worst team in the LPL. They have only six game wins, five of which are to bottom six teams, the exception being a single game win vs mid tier Suning. Rogue Warriors are a prideful team that doesn't sleep on their foes. Much like Invictus they don't take these "free" games off, they use them to style and pump their stats. With the hyper confident (or arrogant, your choice) leader DoinB at the helm, Rogue Warriors do their best to set game time records every chance they get. It honestly wouldn't surprise me to see this series over in under 50 total minutes. I'm taking the under on both games as well.

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