Rogue Warriors (-250, -1.5 @ +140, M1 -189, M2 -182, M3 -182)
@ (Over/Under 34:00, Total Kills 18.5)
BiliBili Gaming (+185, +1.5 @ -192, M1 +137, M2 +139, M3 +139)
EDward Gaming (-303, -1.5 @ -104, M1 -250, M2 -250, M3 -250)
@ (Over/Under 34:00, Total Kills 18.5)
Suning Gaming (+215, +1.5 @ -125, M1 +186, M2 +186, M3 +186)
Moneyline: BiliBili Gaming +185 (1 unit)
Moneyline: BiliBili Gaming +1.5 maps @ -192 (2 units)
This is mostly a bet on a line being grossly inaccurate but unlike the EDG bet you'll see next this one feels like it will be a closer match. BBG had a couple of clean games against a relatively poor LGD squad hwile RW haven't played since the returning from break so it's possible they're just too prepared but I actually think this matchup should be close to a pick 'em. Rogue Warriors have been playing a lot of really bizarre strategies and while SmLz and DoinB are excellent players they can't keep getting away with this Karma/Lulu mid plus Kog or another hyper carry nonsense. They're also undefeated from red side and I'm not sure BBG are going to give them counterpick in these games. This should be like a -100/-120 type of matchup to me. Both teams are relatively even in economy and other metrics and, in my opinion BBG have had a very slightly tougher schedule. I think Athena and SKS can keep Flawless under control and use that to influence the bottom lane enough that SmLz can't just free scale on a hyper carry.
Result:
Result:
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Moneyline: EDward Gaming -1.5 maps @ -104 (2 units)
Moneyline: Maps 1 and 2 UNDER 34:00 @ -116 (1 unit each)
I don't really think this line should be this big. Suning are 4-3 with a 10-7 game record while Edward are 5-1 with a 10-5 game record. Both teams struggle against the top teams but are decisively better than the bottom of the table which puts them in their own tier in the 3rd place slot. I'm going to go with EDward gaming here even with this inaccurate line. They've got better economy, stronger players in every position besides ADC which I think goes to ex-LCK player Fury who has been absolutely destroying every other ADC besides Loken in the LPL. Maybe I'm a bit biased towards history but this EDG team has been so dominant domestically and this feels similarly to RNG yesterday in that "it's about time we start trying."
The LPL season is significantly longer than the other leagues around the world so, similarly to hockey or basketball, you have really good teams that just coast or start their subs early in the season so they don't burn out by the end. This feels like as good a time as any in EDG's first game after the break to kick it into another gear. I also think for as good as Suning have been they're one of those first half hockey teams that has to try hard and outhustle to beat teams because they don't have the talent and then the Pittsburgh Penguins just decide to start playing hockey again and make a deep playoff run. It happens almost every year and the LPL has a similar trajectory for a lot of teams. This is a bit of a gut shot because the metrics would tell you this line is grossly inaccurate and you should take Suning for the value but I'm going to zig while everyone else is zagging and go with the multi-time LPL champions to kick it into gear for the second half coming off of a break.
Result:
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Turkish Champions League Feb 26th Schedule:
Royal Bandits -385 @ Team AURORA +255
Dark Passage -909 @ Galakticos +470
SuperMassive -1250 @ YouthCrew +565
1907 Fenerbahce -400 @ HWA Gaming +264
Moneyline: Royal Bandits First Blood @ -159 (1 unit)
Moneyline: RB @ AUR UNDER 34:00 @ -116 (1 unit)
Moneyline: DP @ GAL UNDER 35:00 @ -120 (1 unit)
Moneyline: SUP @ YC UNDER 32:00 @ -135 (1 unit)
Moneyline: FB @ HWA UNDER 34:00 @ -132 (1 unit)
Once again following up on my under trends in the TCL that I've been collecting on this week.
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LCK 2018 Mid-Season "Rest of the Way" Tier List
LCK 2018 Mid-Season "Rest of the Way" Tier List
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