Betting: July 12th (LCK / LMS)

LOL Champions Korea 7/12 Schedule:

Jin Air GW (-120, -1.5 @ +243)
@ Over/Under 33:00, Total Kills 19.5
BBQ Olivers (-105, +1.5 @ -313)


Kingzone DragonX (-500, -1.5 @ -167)
@ Over/Under 31:00, Total Kills 20.5
MVP (+346, +1.5 @ +121)


Moneyline: Jin Air GW -120 (3 units)

Handicapped: Jin Air GW -1.5 maps @ +261 (1 unit)

I'm keeping this relatively light and it's admittedly mostly on the eye test and my preseason rankings. BBQ have the advantage of side selection but to me they're the worst team in the LCK. Yes they have game wins against Griffin and Gen.G but in those games they were competitive almost entirely on the fault of their enemy. Jin Air have struggled mightily with this metagame. They're not really built for this style of play but I do think they're the better team and they've looked a lot better in the majority of their losses than BBQ have looked in theirs. This is the "Super Bowl" for both of these teams and I think Jin Air are the better team. They have stronger players and better coaching but are just stuck in a metagame that's poor for them. BBQ are poorly coached, in my opinion, and would be the clear cut worst team in the LCK if Jin Air weren't struggling. I want to make this a heavier wager but the truth is, with weaker teams you need to be careful wagering too much because, after all, they are at the bottom of the table.


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Handicapped: Kingzone -1.5 maps @ -143 (8 units)

PROP: Map 1 UNDER 31:00 @ -114 (2 units)

PROP: Map 2 UNDER 31:00 @ -114 (2 units)

I got pounded yesterday for doubling down on the Rift Rivals hangover effect not being a problem. It wasn't. Those games were lost in the draft in all but perhaps game two of the Afreeca series. The players weren't off, as a matter of fact they played well considering the circumstances of the drafts. Anyway I think this is also a bit of a different scenario. Yesterday we had hungry, mid-tier teams fighting for a spot against top teams coming back from Rift Rivals. You could make the argument that MVP is a mid-tier team but to me they are either at the bottom of that tier or top of the next one. They're in their own weird spot. I just think Kingzone are going to smash MVP in this spot. With Afreeca losing to Griffin and KT Rolster losing to HLE yesterday, Kingzone could move to within half a game of Griffin and ahead of Gen.G half a game as well as +1 on Afreeca in a tight playoff race. Kingzone have a really easy schedule this week so there's a chance, combined with the hangover effect, that they're lazy here but I think they'll smell blood in the water and take care of business with a quick and clean 4-0 on the week. I don't think any amount of research MVP could do is going to change my thoughts on the outcome here. Even with many factors in MVP's favor I'd still take Kingzone here because the quality of players and coaching is big enough that I don't think it particularly matters. This should be a smashing.