Betting: October 14th (2018 Worlds Main Event Group Stage Day 5)

Royal Never Give Up -909 vs Team Vitality +543

Gen.G eSports -455 vs Cloud 9 +318

Gen.G eSports -313vs Team Vitality +232

Royal Never Give Up -769 vs Cloud 9 +482

Cloud 9 -116 vs Team Vitality -109

Royal Never Give Up -244 vs Gen.G eSports +187

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Royal Never Give Up vs Team Vitality

With odds like this I wouldn’t fault you for taking a shot on Vitality but with RNG still playing for 1^st seed I don’t think I’d put more than a half unit on Vitality. If Vitality were to win this it’d either be through a split push or with an early snowball in bottom lane. The most likely outcome being a swift RNG victory through winning lanes, second most likely a slightly slower RNG victor, and third and fourth most likely being a Vitality swift win or split win that gives us two outcomes that could conceivably come under 29:00. I personally think RNG will continue their stomping spree. A fourth win guarantees them through to the Top 8 while getting to five wins guarantees a #1 seed out of groups, I expect they’ll be showing up to play.

PROP: UNDER 29:00 @ -103 (1.5 units)

PROP: UNDER 22.5 total kills @ -114 (1.5 units)

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Gen.G vs Cloud 9

Will Gen.G stomp Cloud 9 in under 25 minutes again? Usually after a whooping like that you can expect more fight the next time around, especially considering Cloud 9 NEED to win out but I think, unfortunately this will be the end of the road for the boys in blue. Gen.G are also in a situation where they need to win out (spoiler alert: something I expect them to do). Gen.G are just too good in the right places and if they, a notoriously slow playing team, were able to obliterate C9 that fast in the first meeting I can’t help but expect it again. CuVee is able to defeat Cloud 9’s best player this tournament in Licorice and the bot lane matchup is so hilariously lopsided it feels like Alabama playing against a Division 3 school in college football. I like the UNDER in kills and total time here.

PROP: UNDER 33:00 @ -152 (juice is crazy high on this, so weird but 1.5 units)

PROP: UNDER 18.5 total kills @ -109 (1 unit)

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Gen.G eSports vs Team Vitality

Next target on the Gen.G warpath will be Team Vitality who I believe are slightly better equipped to challenge here than Cloud 9 is but also likely to fall short. I like the double under here too even though Vitality tend to play bloodier games.

PROP: UNDER 33:00 @ -137 (1.5 units)

PROP: UNDER 21.5 total kills @ -114 (1.5 units)

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Royal Never Give Up vs Cloud 9

As I mentioned before I think it’s important to take a look at the situations we think are likely to develop going into this before we lose all the value when they actually come to fruition. If we think Gen.G are going to win back to back games then RNG are going to be in a situation where they need this win to secure the #1 seed coming out of groups. They’ll be playing hard while Cloud 9 will essentially be done and just playing spoiler. Not to say the spoiler can’t get it done but there’s a lot less urgency than when your tournament life is on the line. I like C9 a little more here if they manage to beat Gen.G because then they could still be alive and RNG will have already potentially secured the #1 seed but I don’t see that happening so I like the double under yet again here.

PROP: UNDER 30:00 @ -114 (1.5 units)

PROP: UNDER 22.5 total kills @ -114 (1.5 units)

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Cloud 9 vs Team Vitality

This is always a tricky spot to call ahead of time because in this match both teams could potentially be eliminated from Top 8 contention already. Obviously if one wins one of the earlier games I like that team a lot more but the line will reflect that once the early win happens so there won’t be much value in it. If you’re going to bet this game with an early win assumed and one of these teams having something to play for then decide which you think is more likely to happen now and place your wager accordingly. I for one think both will have nothing to play for in the tournament but Vitality will want vengeance for the previous loss, a game in which they screwed their draft up and still almost just outplayed Cloud 9 to a win anyway. I think with how well Jiizuke has been playing and how poor Jensen has been along with superior jungle play from Vitality and overall attitude and cohesiveness I think I like Vitality to win this one but only for a unit. I’ll be excluding this from MOST of my favorite stack parlays but will include it in some.

Moneyline: Team Vitality -109 (1 unit)

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Royal Never Give Up vs Gen.G eSports

I’m not going to say RNG mail this game in as this is an opponent they could potentially face but with the #1 seed already secured from their previous wins they’ll have a little less urgency and perhaps an unwillingness to show anything strategically so I expect they’ll play this very bland and vanilla and not show anything new. Gen.G on the other hand will be able to secure #2 seed with a win almost regardless of the earlier circumstances unless by some miracle Vitality or Cloud 9 upset. They’ll need this game to avoid tiebreakers. I also think Gen.G are looking better and figuring things out after a rough start. I love a good team, in a heavy underdog situation against a team that will have nothing to play for and will either avoid showing anything or will pick something risky to attempt to show it as a possible ban target for Bracket stage teams to see before playing RNG. I LOVE Gen.G here even though I think RNG can win playing vanilla against them. Not slamming this but going two units on the underdogs here.

Moneyline: Gen.G eSports +187 (2 units)

Once again did well with our parlays even though I sorta forget to put some G2 cycles into those even after putting a half unit on the upset yesterday. I should have split them but I was lazy! I’ll be doing the same thing this time around except I’m excluding the C9/Vitality game since it’s potentially volatile. I’ll be mixing in some Gen.G and RNG wins for that Gen.G/RNG match into them as well to cover bases.