Worlds 2017 - Group Stage Predictions

     It's finally time for the "real" action to start at Worlds 2017 in China! I'm going to run down each team in that made it to groups, their strengths and weaknesses, and my predictions for who will escape groups and why.

Group A - EDward Gaming (CN1), SK Telecom T1 (KR2), AHQ E-sports (TW2), Cloud 9 (NA3)


EDward Gaming (China #1 seed)

Members: Mouse, Clearlove, Scout, iBoy, Meiko, Audi (sub)

Strengths:

• Disciplined and patient
• Excellent late game team fighting
• Veteran experience

Weaknesses:

• Slow play was not punished domestically
• Mouse had a weak showing in the few games he played before leaving last years Worlds
• Can be a little too one dimensional

Strongest Players:

• Clearlove (world class) - I know he's struggled in the past at Worlds but Clearlove will be here for a 5th time. He's a rock and for once the meta actually favors him and he hasn't been patched out. Look out!
• Meiko (world class) - Meiko has Worlds experience as well and has completely dominated the competition in his role domestically. One of the strongest support players in this tournament.
• Scout (world class) - One of the top 3 mid laners in China. Sat behind Faker and Easyhoon very much like Aaron Rodgers did behind Favre.

Overall Breakdown:

     EDG have done well at Worlds in the past but have never quite delivered on their expected level which leads most to believe they've been a disappointment. They drew Rox Tigers (arguably the strongest team at the tourney, if not the second strongest) as their quarterfinal matchup which really inhibited their ability to advance in the tournament. I think homefield means something but not as much as people think. Ultimately as strong as this team is I feel they're actually the weakest of the three LPL squads here this year. Their domestic stats are dominant but I just don't think they have the versatility to be considered a true favorite to take this tournament down. They're a little bit too one dimensional for my taste and I think that will be their downfall.

vs The Competition:

• vs SKT: SKT and EDG are actually both good at the same thing. Being patient, punishing mistakes, and playing proactive defense. However I feel SKT have shown slightly more flexibility ocassionally preparing excellent early game scripts which I think will serve them well in a split best of two group stage. The ability to use both junglers will be a strength as well. This is a rough matchup for EDG because SKT just do what they do but better and can also sometimes take early games by storm. They also just have better players in every position in my opinion.   SKT 2 - 0
• vs AHQ: I'm very down on AHQ heading into this tournament. I'm not buying the "LMS teams always show up at Worlds" narrative and from what I've seen of them domestically (limited) and international events this year they just look like they've taken a step back as a region or at least haven't kept up with NA and China. AHQ does have the ability to steal games with their crafty 1-3-1 style and Ziv just being a complete monster which could be a way to abuse Mouse who hasn't shown well internationally. I don't think it's enough to keep this from a 2-0 as EDG will be prepared but this isn't as cut and dry a 2-0 as the SKT one.    EDG 2 - 0
• vs Cloud 9: This one I actually think is tough to call. When Cloud 9 was rolling over everybody for that couple of weeks early in the summer they were doing so with creative early game scripts and playing excellent, up-tempo League of Legends to close games out before it mattered. Since then they've fallen back to "farm and let Jensen carry" which I think, contrary to popular belief, opens them up to more coin flip games in this current meta. If the up-tempo Cloud 9 shows up it's a stylistic counter to the way EDG likes to play and as good as their defense is they haven't had to face that kind of speed + skill combination domestically. For what it's worth Cloud 9 aren't slouces late either as they played well with that style as well.  1 - 1 but Cloud 9 takes the tiebreaker.

Total Record: 3 - 3, lose tiebreaker to Cloud 9


SK Telecom T1 (Korea #2 Seed)
Members: Huni, Peanut, Faker, Bang, Wolf, Blank (sub jungle), Untara (not attending due to 6 player limit)

Strengths:

• Perhaps the best defensive team at this tournament. They're seemingly never out of any game.
• Disciplined
• Exceptional macro
• Massive champion pools and team composition versatility
• Insanely strong individual players
• Veteran experience (multiple multi-time world champions)

Weaknesses:

• Have shown a lot of arrogance in drafts and it's lost them games
• Seemingly don't WANT to play fast even though they're capable. Early game can be exploited.

Strongest Players:

• Faker (world class) - He's the Wayne Gretzsky of League of Legends. The GOAT. A phenom capable of pretty much anything. Don't really need to say anything more except that he's back to "Faker is wrecking everyone" form this year while everyone was kind of down on him last year.
• Bang (world class) - People might disagree and say Pray but I think Bang is probably still the best ADC at this tournament. The proof is in the pudding. Super consistent, plays everything. Other than Deft (sadly not attending Worlds) is probably the best in the world at the position.
• Wolf (world class) - Could say either Wolf or Gorilla but they're the two best supports in the world (maybe Mata...) and, to me at least, it's not close at least within this tournament.
• Peanut (world class) - Had a bit of an up and down season but let's not forget just how much of a house Peanut was all of last year. He's still young, has big stage experience, and a TON of time to prepare.
• Huni and Blank - Are both incredible and versatile players as well just not quite on the same level as the rest in my opinion. 

Overall Breakdown:

     First and foremost while I think SKT is probably the second best team in the world this iteration has more flaws than last years. The rotating, adaptive roster of Untara/Huni and Blank/Peanut I think did just as much harm as it did good but in theory should be strong once out of groups. They've shown a TON of arrogance in drafts which I think is something they better not do on this level. SKT got away with no wave clear team compositions way too often this year. The other thing to keep in mind is that everything is relative. So SKT's weaknesses are when compared to teams like KT, Longzhu, and Samsung who are, in my opinion the four best teams in the world. So when I say "SKT has a weak early game" it's relative to KT and Longzhu who are the best early game teams on the planet. Honestly SKT is probably the third best! I think they've had time to prepare, it's a good patch for them, and while this metagame is sure to provide some upsets or "close games" SKT are just such a disciplined and excellent macro team in game that it's going to take a ridiculous performance to oust this team. Are they the tournament favorites? To me they're the second favorite only to Longzhu but I'm not going to argue with you if you think they deserve it. The experience, results, and strength of this roster are more than enough to justify it.

vs The Competition:

• vs EDG: As mentioned above, EDG and SKT USUALLY play the same style but SKT just has better players and do it better. Hopefully these are close, apocalyptic team fight kind of games but I'd be hard pressed not to give SKT the 2 - 0. Maybe Scout plays out of his mind against his old mentor or maybe a coin flip team fight or maybe an arrogant draft can give EDG a game but I think I'm safe saying 2 - 0. I think this SKT lineup is more likely to drop a game in groups than last years though that still isn't likely to me.  SKT 2 - 0
• vs AHQ: To me AHQ just can't hang with SKT on any level and unlike their matchup with EDG where you can imagine a scenario where Ziv just feasts on Mouse and they steal a game that way this team just isn't remotely close to the level of SKT and they have Huni to match Ziv in the top lane. It would take a colossal performance by AHQ to win one of these.   SKT 2 - 0
• vs Cloud 9: If up-tempo Cloud 9 show up they might be able to take a game but again I think the quality of players is just too strong and SKT is too good at defense to fall for that kind of thing unless it's a team on the same quality level as they are like KT or Longzhu. Cloud 9's strongest player also, unfortunately, has to face Faker which is just another factor working against them.  SKT 2 - 0

Total Record: 6 - 0, but this is a slightly softer 6 - 0 than last years prediction

AHQ e-Sports (Taiwan #2 Seed)
Members: Ziv, Mountain, Chawy, AN, Albis, Westdoor (sub)

Strengths:

• Excellent 1-3-1 split push roster.
• Consistently get their super star player Ziv ahead with creative game plans.
• Experience

Weaknesses:

• Lack versatility. While more versatile than previous lineups they're still predictable
• Weaker region (sorry LMS but I'm really not believing)

Strongest Players:

• Ziv (world class): The guy is just a house. He gets a lot of resources and help but he almost always delivers.
• Mountain: Knows where his bread is buttered (Ziv) and plans accordingly.

Overall Breakdown:

     I'm not buying the LMS being a strong region this year. I was the guy touting them as a sleeper the last two years. That they were solid and would surprise a lot of people and, sure enough, they did. After seeing them internationally and watching the playoffs the play has taken a slight dip downward. To me it seems the region has stayed the same but everyone else has gotten better. I'm not saying they're a bad region but I think people are getting sucked into the "LMS always shows up" narrative that's being pushed. I'm not seeing it this year and AHQ, you could argue, isn't even the second best team in LMS this year. They have some tools to work with so I won't completely rule them out of taking a game or two but I think even with a pseudo-homefield advantage this squad doesn't have what it takes to make it out of groups.

vs The Competition:

• vs EDG: To me, if AHQ are going to steal a game this is the most likely opponent they'll do it against. Mouse has struggled mightily in his limited experience at Worlds last year and, while better, hasn't been a dominant force like Ziv has since. This is the matchup, this is the game steal if it's going to happen. That being said I don't think it's likely. EDG 2 - 0
• vs SKT: AHQ just doesn't have the players or the tools to deal with SKT in any capacity and it would take not only a massive draft error (which are few and far between on this patch) AND bad play to overcome this one.  SKT  2 - 0
• vs Cloud 9: Similar logic to the EDG matchup in that maybe they can punish Impact/Ray with Ziv? These might be slugfests and closer games but I think Cloud 9 is just a stronger team. Cloud 9 2 - 0.

Total Record: 0 - 6, Sorry AHQ fans (I kinda hope I'm wrong)

Cloud 9 (North America, wild card play in seed)
Members: Impact, Contractz, Jensen, Sneaky, Smoothie, Ray (sub top)

Strengths:

• Ability to play both up-tempo and more defensive scaling style
• Have the champion pools and roster versatility to potentially play a strong 1-3-1 which could be a massive advantage this tournament
• Play to their strengths and don't pretend they're something they aren't.
• Strong mid and late game team fighting and macro play
• Ocassionally exceptional performances from their weaker players

Weaknesses:

• Will sometimes slump as a team. 
• Often rely too much on Jensen to win games.
• Seemingly don't WANT to play fast even though they're capable. Early game can be exploited.

Strongest Players:

• Jensen (world class) - He's an excellent player and gets to cut his teeth against another excellent, world class mid laner in Bjergsen very often. I think he's going to have vengeance on his mind after getting embarassed by Faker. Should have a strong showing if his team can manage to do decently.
• Smoothie - Rock solid support player that excels at any and all styles. Excellent domestically, time to see if he can show up internationally.

Overall Breakdown:

     I think Cloud 9 are a strong team with some decent strengths and very few pronounced weaknesses. That being said their strengths are potentially tournament altering. The current meta game revolves a lot around traditional 2-core compositions which are typically two tanks, two hyper carries, and a support or off tank. The way to beat that strategy is to either not team fight it and split push or to increase the tempo of the game to the point where the enemy doesn't get to their major items in time to be rolled over. Cloud 9 have shown the ability to play all three of these styles to a solid level and while they're not particularly dominant at one I think they're very well positioned to take games off of teams most people would consider strong than they are (like EDG). Then again this team has also slumped for seemingly no reason and maybe Impact doesn't get his "playoff buff" and just gets rolled. Cloud 9 are also aided by NA being, in my opinion, the second strongest region in the world now with a noticable uptick in the level of competition domestically that will hopefully transfer to the international stage.

It's a shaky foundation but could end up being a decent looking house that could get by for a little while... now that the bad analogies are over onto the matchups.

vs The Competition:

• vs EDG: I outlined it in the EDG segment but I think Cloud 9 matchup favorably against EDG even if their player quality overall isn't as strong. Now maybe it's enough of a gap in player quality that EDG just rolls them over but I doubt that in the current state of the game. I think this is a hard fought set of games for these two squads and it will come down to whether or not EDG can adapt and adjust to play defense (or pivot to offense?) vs the multi-faceted Cloud 9 team.  Cloud 9 1 - 1 and then win the tiebreaker to advance.
• vs SKT: Not as likely of an upset but perhaps the Impact vs his old team and Jensen wanting vengenace combined with a poor draft or early game by SKT could be the perfect storm to take a game. I doubt it but who knows.   SKT 2 - 0
• vs AHQ:  AHQ aren't that much worse than Cloud 9 that it will be a stomping but I do think Cloud 9 are enough better and significantly more versatile to take this. Cloud 9  2 - 0.

Total Record: 3 - 3, win the tiebreaker vs EDG to advance

GROUP A RESULTS

SKT 6 - 0

Cloud 9   4 - 3

EDG  3 - 4

AHQ  0 - 6

The Cloud 9 / EDG could easily go the other way but I do think Cloud 9 drew a favorable matchup in EDG to escape groups with a 2 seed for Quarters. This is like 55-45 to me.
_____________________________________________________Group B - Longzhu Gaming (KR1), Immortals (NA2), Gigabyte Marines (GPL1), Fnatic (EU3)Longzhu Gaming (Korea #1 Seed)

Members: Khan, Cuzz, Bdd, Pray, Gorilla, Rascal (sub top)

Strengths:

• The best or second best up-tempo team in the world
• Extremely versatile
• Perfect blend of hungry new comers and grisled veterans
• Absolutely unforgiving. They punish mistakes better than anybody right now
• Exceptional invididual players. Pound for pound probably the best roster at the tournament based on recent performance.
• Red hot! 

Weaknesses:

• Red hot! (yes this is a strength and a weakness, it's been a long time since LCK finals)
• Maybe the rookies don't show up?
• ... I mean that's about it.

Strongest Players:

• All of them... you could make a reasonable argument for each and every player on Longzhu being the best in their position in the world currently. 

Overall Breakdown:

     Longzhu Gaming are the perfect storm. This is what every organization in every single sport seeks to replicate. Premium prospects that work out (Khan, Cuzz, and BDD), a free agent that didn't work with another team that just needed a fresh start on a good team (BDD), and savvy, excellent veterans to show them how it's done and be the stability while the young guns adjust (Pray and Gorilla). The stability squad of Pray and Gorilla even showed a lot of new life perhaps invigorated by the new guys as both are playing at an extremely high level right now. If you couldn't tell already I think Longzhu are the best team in the world and, to me at least, the favorites to win Worlds in 2017. They remind me A LOT of Season 4 Samsung White. They have a swagger, a confidence, the chops, and they're able to attack the meta in the way it needs to be attacked while also being able to play the meta at as well as the best teams in the world. They're the full package. The real deal. The only way they don't take this is the rookies choking or SKT having an obscenely good performance (which could happen).

vs The Competition:

• vs Immortals: For my money the two best early game and up-tempo teams in the tournament. That will make these games really interesting and I think Immortals might surprise a lot of people with their ability to go shot for shot with Longzhu's blazing pace. Call me crazy but I actually think Immortals can take a game off the worlds best and that statement is coming from soneone that was an Immortals non-believer ALL SEASON. I was just not buying them at all but again I think the combination of NA improving, the stylistic matchup, and maybe some rookie nerves vs not make it a not too farfetched possibility.   1 - 1
• vs Gigabyte Marines: If the Marines from MSI show up with their zaney early games and balls-to-the-wall Moscow 5 style then these games will be entertaining 2 - 0s but GAM have changed a lot since then and I just don't see it.  Longzhu 2 - 0
• vs Fnatic: Fnatic is an excellent team but I'm just staring at these individual player matchups coupled with the insane pace that Longzhu can play at and I just don't think Fnatic can hang. It's a shame because I do think they're a good team this is just a rough group for them stylistically.   Longzhu 2 - 0

Total Record: 5 - 1, could easily be a 6 - 0 but I'm sensing an game loss here even though I think they're the best team in the tournament.
Immortals (North America #2 Seed)

Members: Flame, Xmithie, Pobelter, Cody Sun, Olleh, Anda (sub)

Strengths:

• Exceptional early game scripts and up-tempo play
• Great non-carry players help them control pace and macro game
• Can still play a long game well.

Weaknesses:

• Cody Sun has overperformed domestically against some good competition but I'm not sure if he's ready to face down Pray/Gorilla and Rekkless/Jesiz
• Xmithie has been the best western jungler for 3/4ths of the year but has struggled internationally before. 
• Some, but not much international experience.

Strongest Players:

• Xmithie (world class) - Never in a million years did I think I'd utter those words but the fact is that he's just been excellent. Smart pathing, mastery of the meta champs and ocassionally a new one here and there. Great shot calling and veteran leadership.
• Olleh (world class) - Olleh could have been the NA LCS MVP for the summer and I wouldn't had been upset about it. Top tier on the meta picks and bring his own tools like his pocket pick Morgana to the table as well. Combined with Xmithie to form a dominant early game rotation and map controlling duo.

Overall Breakdown:

     I was a non-believer all year. You can ask anybody I was talking to. "Ehh I just can't buy in to them." "Yea but I don't think they could hang outside of NA."  "Jeez they're still doing well..."  All were statements I uttered at some point this year about Immortals. Yes they lost finals to TSM in somewhat underwhelming fashion in games 3 and 4 but the first two games were compelling. They're a solid team playing in what I consider the second best region unless China finally delivers. What more can we ask besides a title? That being said I know they're not a favorite to win the tournament or anything but they're extremely good at a style that attacks the meta game in just the right way and, in my opinion, are maybe the third best team in the world at that up-tempo style only after Longzhu and KT Rolster. It's predictable but nobody has really been able to stop them except for the very best of the best or themselves and their backup plan isn't too shabby either. Don't sleep on Immortals...

vs The Competition:

• vs Longzhu: Yes I'm crazy but the logic is there for a potential upset here. I'm betting this will be Longzhu's only loss of the tournament until Finals unless they face SKT beforehand. 1 - 1
• vs Gigabyte Marines: Immortals style and ability should allow them to just stomp all over this new look GAM team. Unless they show up playing like they did at MSI and NOT how they played this summer under new leadership then I can't see them keeping up.  Immortals 2 - 0
• vs Fnatic: Just a bad matchup for Fnatic for the same reasons that Longzhu is. The player quality gap is a little closer however and while I could see Longzhu punting a game, I could also see Fnatic stalling out a game. This one isn't logic it's just a gut feeling that one of these will be the game they don't convert on their uptempo play. It will also illustrate that this group is closer than it will end up looking in terms of quality of team and player.  Immortals 1 - 1

Total Record: 4 - 2 and advancing

Fnatic (Europe, Wild Card play in seed)

Members: sOAZ, Broxah, Caps, Rekkles, Jesiz, Special (sub)

Strengths:

• Disciplined and patient
• Excellent late game team fighting
• Veteran experience

Weaknesses:

• Slow play was not punished domestically
• Ocassional "blow up" games where they just got completely destroyed in one of the solo lanes
• Couple of new comers to worlds in Broxah and Caps

Strongest Players:

• Rekkles (world class) - He's the Western Deft. Seemingly never loses lane or farm advantage. Isn't quite the dominator to shut others out but is an absolute master of high economy play. Excellent damage numbers. Delivers with the resources provided. Has the pocket pick Kennen that nobody seems to know how to deal with.

Overall Breakdown:

     Fnatic are a good team. The problem they face is that while they were able to show consistency and discipline domestically, at least for the most part, I don't see that translating to a higher level of play. They also happened to draw a rough group for them from a stylistic standpoint. They're a great long game team and they drew into a group with Longzhu and Immortals, two of the best up-tempo teams in the world that are also decent at playing the long game and have higher overall player quality to boot. Keep in mind that if the Gigabyte Marines show up in MSI form and not the slowed down, civilized form I'm assuming they'll show up to Worlds as, then I could see them getting outpaced by them and potentially 1-5 or 0-6'ing.

vs The Competition:

• vs Longzhu: Bad matchup stylistically, better players in every position by a long shot (except maybe at ADC)... yea I don't see it.  Longzhu 2 - 0
• vs Immortals: I have Immortals taking a game off Longzhu but I think Fnatic are close enough in quality and a good enough defensive team to also get themselves up to take a game off Immortals. While they're good at playing fast they're not near flawless like Longzhu is so I can see Immortals impressing and then dropping a game. I know the order might be backwards but it's just a gut feeling.  1 - 1
• vs Gigabyte Marines: The new look Gigabyte Marines play a closer to the meta style and Fnatic is just better than them at it and the GAM early game hasn't been great since either so I think Fnatic has the edge with both player quality and being better at the style.  Fnatic 2 - 0

Total Record: 3 - 3
Gigabyte Marines (Southeast Asia #1 Seed)

Members: Archie, Levi, Optimus, NoWay, Sya, Nevan (sub)

Strengths:

• Well to be honest I don't really know
• Potentially their unpredictability

Weaknesses:

• Are trying to be something they are not
• Not quite good enough at anything to perform on this level
• Only one split with new ADC and Top laner

Strongest Players:

• Levi - Strong showings internationally, versatile, great in up-tempo and dueling scenarios
• Optimus - Strong mechanical player with deep champion pool and a number of interesting counter picks.

Overall Breakdown:

     Gigabyte Marines are NOT THE TEAM YOU SAW AT THE MID SEASON INVITATIONAL! It's really important for people to understand this. After MSI, top laner Stark and ADC Slay left the team and they have since really changed the way they play (at least in the handful of games I've watched and from what I've read from more knowledgable people than myself on the GPL). What made GAM exciting and, in my opinion, good was their complete disregard for the structured style you see most teams play these days for a more solo queue feeling, skirmish focused style that they abused and snowballed leads from at MSI. While a lot of people say this might be the best GPL team ever assembled (it's effectively a super team) I just think that if they try to play straight up against international competition they're going to fail. That being said if they can conjure up some of that "chaos style" (MEME ALERT) then maybe they can take some games off Fnatic but I don't see it happening vs Immortals or Longzhu. Teams will be prepared for the nonsense this time as well which is also something working against them if they choose to go back to that.

vs The Competition:

• vs Longzhu: ....  Longzhu 2 - 0
• vs Immortals:  I'd like this as an interesting matchup if they play like they did at MSI but I don't think they will. Immortals 2 -0
• vs Fnatic: Again I'd like them here if they're playing that crazy style they did at MSI but I don't think they will. That could really REALLY punish Fnatic's style.   Fnatic 2 - 0

Total Record: 0 - 6, I hope I'm wrong and the MSI bat-shit crazy Moscow 5 from Season 2 clone shows up!

GROUP B RESULTS

Longzhu  5 - 1

Immortals  4 - 2

Fnatic  3 - 3

Gigabyte Marines 0 - 6

_____________________________________________________

Group C - G2 E-Sports (EU1), Samsung Galaxy (KR3), Royal Never Give Up (CN2), 1907 Fenerbahce (TR)

G2 E-Sports (Europe #1 Seed)

Members: Expect, Trick, Perkz, Zven, Mithy, Hoang (sub)

Strengths:

• Exceptional late game team with strong 2-core fundamentals
• Good defensively
• Experienced internationally

Weaknesses:

• One dimensional
• Perkz can be exploited for overaggression

Strongest Players:

• Zven (world class) - Similar to Rekkles. Excellent high economy carry that delivers when provided the resources. Plays everything well. Slightly stronger bully than Rekkles for comparison.
• Mithy (world class) - Does it all. Rock solid. Experienced.
• Trick - Streaky. When he's playing at the top of his game he's one of the worlds best but other times can be lukewarm
• Perkz - Streak as well. Overaggression can be punished but can also result in games being blown wide open with big plays.

Overall Breakdown:

     G2 are a strange beast. They're very disciplined most of the time. They play very controlled with good vision and their drafts are typically great to accentuate their strengths but every once in awhile they get cocky and their overaggression can be punished. Perkz is the catalyst on this team and what I mean by that isn't that he's what makes them go but he's the one that can either help to steam roll a game or to throw it. He's a feast or famine player at his core. All in all G2 are a strong line up with a lot of international experience. They're one dimensional in the way that Samsung is. Exceptional at that one thing but lacking otherwise. I don't think they were challenged that much domestically besides Fnatic and the upstart Misfits squad that seemed to care when everyone else was coasting to the finish line. I tend to look at regional strength as something that manages the ceiling of a team more than it does the floor. After all what else can G2 do besides whoop their region for more or less the past two years?

vs The Competition:

• vs Samsung: This Samsung team doesn't look as dominant as the one people will remember from finals last year but they're still a top 4 team in the world. Their weaknesses aren't something that G2 is well equipped to punish.  Samsung 2 - 0
• vs RNG: RNG are a weird squad. Like C9 they're capable of playing faster but often don't and choose to put games into the hands of their reliable carries. Similar teams here but I think RNG have a stronger jungler and carries which is important in a 2-core focused metagame especially when the other team hasn't shown much ability to really obliterate early games. RNG also has the upside of sometimes being able to do that but RNG are also a little sloppier than WE and EDG are so I'm willing to cede a game because I respect how strong G2's lineup is. 1 - 1
• vs Fenerbahce: I want to believe in an upset. For the past 3 years I've called the wildcard upset almost exactly right (although I definitely didn't call them making it out of groups, cheers ANX). I think this Fenerbahce lineup is quite good but unfortunately had to go to a sub after some visa issues. Crash and Frozen are extremely good players. There's a chance they can get something going and steal a game in this group and I think if that happens it would be against G2 likely off of a mistake by Perkz but I don't think it's likely. Unfortunate too because they're quite good for a wildcard team and people will not appreciate them in the same breath as Pain, Kabum, and ANX but they're every bit as good.   G2  2 - 0

Total Record: 3 - 3
Samsung Galaxy (Korea #3 Seed)

Members: CuVee, Ambition, Crown, Ruler, CoreJJ, Haru (sub jungle)

Strengths:

• Exceptional late game team fighting and macro. One of the best in the world.
• Perhaps the best pairing of carries in the world besides Faker + Bang with Crown + Ruler
• Finals placement last year gives them experience on the biggest stage possible
• Two excellent junglers with noticably different styles.

Weaknesses:

• Tend to struggle in the early game against premium up-tempo teams
• Predictable drafts
• Inconsistent at ending games early that should be ended early.

Strongest Players:

• Crown (world class) - Crown is one of the truly elite players at any position in the world. There are people that believe he's better than Faker is. 
• Ruler (world class) - Ruler is criminally underrated as a carry. Unlike the high economy carries like Rekkles, Zven, Mystic, and others, he's incredibly efficient even on limited resources. 
• CuVee (world class) - At one point, similar to Smeb, CuVee was kind of a joke but he's steadily improved year after year. You could argue that his improved performance from an already excellent Season 6 is the reason Samsung was in contention to come to worlds and thusly at this tournament.
• Ambition (world class) - Streaky but when he's on is one of the handful atop the world at the position. Grisled, savvy veteran.

Overall Breakdown:

     Firstly I'll state that I was kinda bummed at Samsung making worlds. For my money, despite their inconsistencies KT Rolster were the third best squad on the planet and their upside was the highest. While I think Samsung is the fourth best team in the world, I don't think they can match Longzhu and SKT while KT, on most days, can. I also think Samsung are a lot more vulnerable to an upset from a good up-tempo team. Despite my reservations this is still an extremely good team with top of the world talent at every position and an identity. They know who they are and they're very good at being that.

vs The Competition: 

• vs RNG: This should be a slugfest. Both teams are great mid and late game team fighting teams and RNG has shown enough ability to play faster, albeit not very cleanly, that they could pressure Samsung. I expect these games to be some of the most competitive in the group stage and I look forward to them. 1 - 1
• vs G2: I feel like G2 and Samsung are exact clones of each other but in different regions. Strong in the same places, play the same style, etc. But ultimately Samsung just has better players. I don't think the gap is that big and because these teams aren't that dynamic in terms of different styles you're going to see two squads clashing in apocalyptic team fights and I expect the games to be close. Reasonable chance this is a split but I'm going to bet on Samsung's strength of competition and stronger players and G2's inability to punish their weaknesses. Samsung 2 - 0
• vs Fenerbahce: Maybe Frozen and Crash have it out for their old squad and there's a tremendous upset but I doubt it. The other players on FB1907 just aren't strong enough to match and like G2 unless they show us a new dimension I don't see the early game chops to punish Samsung for their disciplined style. Again though in this crazy team fight meta there's a lot of near 50/50's so anythings possible when neither team is adjusting from that style.  Samsung 2 - 0

Total Record: 5 - 1
Royal Never Give Up (China #2 Seed)

Members: LetMe, MLXG, Xiaohu, Uzi, Ming, Y1han (sub)

Strengths:

• Creative early game scripts
• Exceptional carries maybe the third best pairing in the world with Xiaohu + Uzi
• Possibly the best jungler in the tournament in MLXG
• Strong at all phases of the game, excellent at some
• Uzi willing to play off meta ADC's and often successful

Weaknesses:

• Capable of a lot but often aim for a little
• USUALLY predictable drafts
• Can get a little too hyped and sloppy sometimes

Strongest Players:

• Uzi (world class) - You know the name, you know the plays. The guy still has it. His chops and game sense are unbelievable and his understanding of his own power level is second to none. The best bully ADC in the world and one could make an argument that he's the best in the world at the position period. 
• Xiaohu (world class) - One of the best in the world at the position. Plays everything, all styles and is excellent at all of them. Likes to completely dominate games and intimidate.
• MLXG (world class) - Arguably the best jungler in this tournament. Definitely the best in his region. Intelligent, aggressive, and a consistent playmaker.

Overall Breakdown:

     This RNG squad is so intimidating to play against but somehow managed to drop their finals to an EDG team that I personally felt was slightly weaker than them. I'd say they're the "most Chinese" in a League of Legends sense of the LPL representatives in that they play to dominate and sometimes lack the discipline. Think of the old school Chinese teams like OMG that have insanely good players just ballin' out on people and hone down the And1 mixtape level styles just a tad and they're right in that sweet spot. A full Chinese line up playing at home with a history of making it far in worlds but never quite finishing. RNG are going to be hungry. RNG are one of the teams that I think have the potential to catch fire and just rampage through the more disciplined squad like a bull in a ... china shop. No really though this squad embraces the personality of their best three players and if they get hot and LetMe and just manage his matchups then look out this is a team that could upset some of the favorites. I'll mention it later but if I had to pick a dark horse to upset the Koreans it'd be Royal Never Give Up.

vs The Competition:

• vs Samsung: As I mentioned above this ought to be a slugfest and I'm looking forward to it. 1 - 1
• vs G2: It's possible RNG commit a big error and drop a game but I just think they do what G2 does better and have more explosive players. That being said I think G2 takes a game. RNG 1 - 1
• vs Fenerbahce: I just don't see it here. It's good that FB1907 have their strongest players in 2 of the 3 spots to help nullify the advantages a little but ultimately RNG just have more elite talent, synergy, and experience.  RNG 2 - 0 

Total Record: 4 - 2, there's a chance this is another one of those 3-3 tiebreakers and if they get into one with G2 I think RNG wins it
1907 Fenerbahce (Turkey, Wildcard Play-in seed)

Members: Thaldrin, Crash, Frozen, Padden, Japone, Waena (sub), Move (absent, visa issue)

Strengths:

• Crash and Frozen are world class players that opted to play in a wild card region

Weaknesses:

• Crash is a sub that just stepped in and while he's an elite player the synergy might not be there in time
• Outside of the two Korean players this Turkish squad just isn't on the same individual talent level as the competition at this tournament.

Strongest Players:

• Frozen (world class) - At one time Frozen was one of the best mid laners in the LCK. Maybe we'll get to see Lux!
• Crash - I hesitate to call him world class because there's a reason he didn't get signed anywhere but Crash was an absolute monster last year in LCK and while he sort of trailed off he was hard carrying earlier in the year and was a highly touted prospect coming into the pro scene. He could be looking to step in and make a name for himself.

Overall Breakdown:

     An unfortunate visa issue resulting in a substitution. I'm not saying this team was going to take games but it's still unfortunate. Crash is a hell of a player but they're just too weak at bot and top (although Thaldren is pretty good) to hang with the elite talent in this tournament. Couple that with the new player and I just don't see FB1907 pulling it together.

vs The Competition:

• vs Samsung: Samsung 2 - 0
• vs G2: G2 2 - 0
• vs RNG: RNG 2 - 0

Total Record: 0 - 6, a poor result for an otherwise good lineup that had to suffer a substitution.

GROUP C RESULTS

Samsung 5 - 1

Royal Never Give Up 4 - 2

G2  3 - 3

Fenerbahce 0 - 6

If this goes to a tiebreak between RNG and G2 I think RNG takes it.
___________________________________________________

Group D - Flash Wolves (TW1), Misfits (EU3), Team Solo Mid (NA1), Team World Elite (CN3)

Team Solo Mid (North America, #1 Seed)

Members: Hauntzer, Svenskeren, Bjergsen, Doublelift, Biofrost, MrRallez (sub)

Strengths:

• Exceptional late game team fighting and macro
• Great defensive team, able to absorb punches and break even on objective trades until late game
• Able to play up-tempo to a satisfactory but not excellent level
• Experienced
• Strong in every position
• No truly definitive weakness

Weaknesses:

• Bjergsen is an elite, world class player, Doublelift is as well, but they're not quite on the level of the best of the best players in this specific tournament so strong individual players but no more than one truly elite player.
• Svenskeren ocassionally will have "blow up" games 
• Sometimes draft "too conservatively"

Strongest Players:

• Bjergsen (world class) - Bjergsen has done everything you could possibly want him to do domestically and has improved with each and every international performance over his career. He's in position to breakout into one of the truly elite players at this tournament.
• Doublelift - Savvy, well-rounded veteran that isn't quite on the level of the top shelf ADCs but is substantially better than most of the rest.
• Biofrost - In a much improved pool of supports in NA performed very well and had good international showings.

Overall Breakdown:

     So as many of you know I'm the resident TSM hater. I've called their shortcomings every single year with remarkable accuracy in the face of their fans giving me a lot of lip service. With that out of the way I'm going to go ahead and say it. Besides the top 4 Korean teams I think TSM is the best team in the world as of right now. That would make them the 5th best team in the world. They have no glaring weaknesses, still dominated a region that was significantly improved from top to bottom, and have shown great versatility both stylistically and compositionally. TSM are a great team and they're all reaching peak performance levels at just the right time. In a meta game where not a lot of advantages can be gained through the draft and late game team fighting is the normal you need to be able to do two things well. Late game team fight and defending vs up-tempo (or playing up-tempo yourself). TSM is exceptionally at two of these and above average at actually playing up-tempo as well. They have all the tools, good enough players to get the job done, and I think will actually surprise a lot of people.

vs The Competition:

• vs Flash Wolves: TSM have the tools to tame Maple and Karsa and as HKA coach Nelson said if you can manage those two then Flash Wolves is dead in the water.  TSM 2 - 0
• vs World Elite: This matchup I'm looking forward to. World Elite are extremely disciplined and so is TSM and with similar styles and similar levels of individual skill I can see this turning into a slugfest. 1 - 1
• vs Misfits: Misfits just lack the international experience and overall teamplay that TSM bring. The individual skill level is also rather large, albeit not as much is it seems. TSM have the tools to manage Misfits and their gimmicks.  TSM 2 - 0

Total Record: 5 - 1

Flash Wolves (Taiwan #1 seed)

Members: MMD, Karsa, Maple, Betty, SwordArt, Cyo (sub)

Strengths:

• Experience with multiple worlds and international appearances.
• One of, if not the strongest mid + jungle pairings on the planet

Weaknesses:

• Predictable
• Not as disciplined as previous iterations
• Inability to win games that aren't controlled by Karsa and Maple

Strongest Players:

• Karsa (world class) - One of the best junglers in the world. So good that people know what to expect and he comes up with creative solutions to "next level" his opponents and create opportunities to open games up
• Maple (world class) - Excellent, veteran mid laner capable of a wide variety of picks including an excellent Aurelion Sol which can be a wild card.
• SwordArt - Solid as a rock, stable veteran that's had flashes of brilliance on the world stage before but isn't truly as dominant as the best at the position.

Overall Breakdown:

     The narrative would tell you that the LMS teams always "show up" or "clutch it out" but as I mentioned earlier about AHQ, I'm just not buying it this year. This team looks pretty awful at their international appearances this year. Rife with errors, lack of creativity, and generally predictable patterns, the Flash Wolves and the LMS as a whole seem to have lost a step on their former selves. If Flash Wolves are still the best team in their region and they still looked this bad I'm not even sure a pseudo homefield advantage can help them. I'm putting them slightly above where I have Misfits and the wild card squads and probably better than Gigabyte Marines as well but I think Fnatic, C9, G2, and all the Chinese teams are stronger this year. That said this is a veteran squad and have, as the narrative would suggest, "clutched" it out at Worlds before so that's not outside the realm of possibility. Flash Wolves are a team that I've generally had a good read on in years past, predicting with accuracy that people had underestimated them at the past two World Championships but this year something seems off.

vs The Competition:

• vs World Elite: World Elite do everything Flash Wolves does but better and the Condi + Xiye combination is as good, if not better so that advantage could be nullified.  World Elite 2 - 0
• vs TSM: Same as World Elite. TSM can actually match their strength and dominate the rest. TSM 2 - 0
• vs Misfits: Misfits have similar level of players in outer lanes but could get rolled by that Karsa + Maple combo. I'm thinking they execute better against a significantly lower class of team.  Flash Wolves 2 - 0

Total Record:  2 - 4

Team World Elite (China #3 Seed)

Members: 957, Condi, Xiye, Mystic, Zero, Ben (sub support)

Strengths:

• Extremely disciplined
• Methodical, by the book.
• Exceptional late game team fighting 
• Excellent carry and jungle play
• Great defensive team

Weaknesses:

• Predictable
• Have a tendency to play "too conservatively" and get too far behind against elite teams
• One dimensional

Strongest Players:

• Condi (world class) - One of the best junglers in the world. Gets to cut his teeth against a bunch of elite junglers domestically and is capable of blowing games wide open while almost never losing on his risks
• Xiye (world class) - Rock solid, high economy carry capable of playing assassins, split pushers, and control mages. Delivers on the resources supplied to him
• Mystic (world class) - Has had experience playing against most of the worlds best ADC's during his time in the LPL and Korea and has improved steadily over the course of his career. Exceptional high economy carry that fits the style of WE perfectly.

Overall Breakdown:

     I think if I were power ranking right now I'd have World Elite as the best Chinese team in this tournament. That doesn't mean I think they have the best chances of winning the whole tournament but I do think they're remarkably disciplined, play to their win conditions, and completely embrace their identity. They're  the specialists. Their play reminds me a lot of the old Samsung Blue in Season 4 where they would just grind out this long, attrition battle games over and over and over like the river that carves a canyon. That style can actually be very beneficial if you're as good at it (and only if you're good at it) as World Elite are in a split Bo2 group stage. I love the way this team plays and I think they have what it takes to make a run to the top 4 if they get the right matchup in quarterfinals.

vs The Competition:

• vs Flash Wolves: Let the blending begin... WE 2 - 0
• vs TSM: Similar teams with similar strengths in an absolute slugfest.  1 - 1
• vs Misfits: Misfits are just gonna get crushed by the blender here. World Elite will let them beat themselves.  WE 2 - 0

Total Record: 5 - 1, lose tiebreaker to TSM to get a 2 seed in quarterfinals

Misfits (Europe #2 seed)

Members: Alphari, Maxlore, PowerofEvil, Hans Sama, IgNar, Hiiva (sub)

Strengths:

• Exotic, unpredictable style at times
• Weird picks that 

Weaknesses:

• No true standout players from a skill perspective
• VERY inconsistent
• Best play isn't really all that great compared to the level at this tournament

Strongest Players:

• Nobody inparticular. It's more a team dynamic / stylistic edge they seek.

Overall Breakdown:

     Honestly I don't think Misfits belong here. I really don't think any European team besides G2 and Fnatic belong at Worlds. The drop off from those two to the rest of the pack is just massive. Europe took a big hit in terms of overall league level of play this year and while they have some veteran players with Worlds experience I just don't see this team being good enough at any one thing to really make a dent. They're going to have to cheese or catch people off guard with pocket picks like Illaoi, Kayle, etc. I'm considering Misfits in the same ballpark as the wildcard teams for all intents and purposes.

vs The Competition:

• vs Flash Wolves: Maybe Flash Wolves gets sloppy and snowballed on after both of these teams are eliminated. Should probably still be a 2 - 0 just on quality of team. Flash Wolves 2 - 0
• vs World Elite: Misfits just aren't ready for this level yet. WE 2 - 0
• vs TSM:  Same as above, just not in the same ballpark. TSM 2 - 0

Total Record: 0 - 6. Maybe they steal a game in "garbage time" after FW and Misfits have been eliminated.

GROUP D RESULTS

Team Solo Mid  5 - 1 

World Elite  5 - 1 

Flash Wolves 2 - 4

Misfits  0 - 6

TSM and World Elite slug it out in a tiebreak match that I have TSM taking. To me this group looked exciting but when you think about it is extremely top heavy like Group A

____________________________________________________

Prop Bets!
Dark Horse - Royal Never Give Up
Tournament MVP - BDD
Biggest Disappointment - Flash Wolves 
Biggest Suprise - World Elite, TSM to people that aren't high on them like me
World Champion - Longzhu Gaming
Number of Champions Selected - 71
Surprise Champion - Singed
Out of nowhere priority meta champion - Ryze

     And that's all I've got about the group stage. I'll be back afterwards and hopefully active on Twitter during so I hope to see you and join in the conversation. If you have any other ideas for prop bets let me know!

ENJOY THE TOURNAMENT!!